The other night Matt and I enjoyed an evening of delicious beer and good conversation with his cousin Arnie, a farmer in western Iowa. We talked of many things – capitalism, service, agro business, the promise of technology, and the virtues and vice of pecan pie verse the fur pie (I’m still not sure which I prefer most days).

One thing Arnie mentioned was this 100 day theory of a deep fog to a heavy blizzard. He claims that 100 days from a dense fog will always produce heavy moisture and, depending on your temperatures at the time, you’ll either get mighty wet or wonderfully buried.

I’ve never heard this before, and I’m not wholly convinced Arnie didn’t just make this up as a reason to sell an extended vacation in the southwest to his wife, but I’m curious enough to keep my eyes on the calendar after our deep fog here in Chicago a little over a week ago.

Imagine what a booking advantage this would be if this kind of improbable wisdom could be applied to a snowboarding vacation? I’m curious enough to run a test on anything, so I’ve got my calendar marked and we’ll see what happens around the first week in March. If we find ourselves neck deep in snow I’ll plan for further investigations, if not I’ll stack this nugget of knowledge next to my bag of gris-gris and keep my neck hairs pointed to the future.

Who am I to say what kind of truths can or can’t hide inside of probable bullshit?